2018 – Super Bowl Week Probabilities

Super Bowl Week Probabilities

The following is a list of winning probabilities for Super Bowl week of the 2018 season. The win probability number listed is for the visiting team and is a percentage. So the New England Patriots have a 66% chance of winning against the Los Angeles Rams on a neutral field.


These probabilities are the raw output of our math model and do not take into account injuries, trades, coaching changes, weather, etc. As the season progresses and more games are played the math model should become more accurate. They are not meant to be used alone to determine picks but as a starting point when looking at the current Vegas lines.  Picks will be made later in the week using these numbers along with standard handicapping techniques.

2018 – Conference Week Probabilities

Conference Week Probabilities

The following is a list of winning probabilities for Conference week of the 2018 season. The win probability number listed is for the visiting team and is a percentage. So in the first game the Los Angeles Rams have a 32% chance of winning on the road against the New Orleans Saints.


These probabilities are the raw output of our math model and do not take into account injuries, trades, coaching changes, weather, etc. As the season progresses and more games are played the math model should become more accurate. They are not meant to be used alone to determine picks but as a starting point when looking at the current Vegas lines.  Picks will be made later in the week using these numbers along with standard handicapping techniques.

2018 – Divisional Week Probabilities

Divisional Week Probabilities

The following is a list of winning probabilities for divisional week of the 2018 season. The win probability number listed is for the visiting team and is a percentage. So in the first game the Indianapolis Colts have a 49% chance of winning on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs.


These probabilities are the raw output of our math model and do not take into account injuries, trades, coaching changes, weather, etc. As the season progresses and more games are played the math model should become more accurate. They are not meant to be used alone to determine picks but as a starting point when looking at the current Vegas lines.  Picks will be made later in the week using these numbers along with standard handicapping techniques.

2018 – Wildcard Week Probabilities

Wildcard Week Probabilities

The following is a list of winning probabilities for wildcard week of the 2018 season. The win probability number listed is for the visiting team and is a percentage. So in the first game the Indianapolis Colts have a 40% chance of winning on the road against the Houston Texans.


These probabilities are the raw output of our math model and do not take into account injuries, trades, coaching changes, weather, etc. As the season progresses and more games are played the math model should become more accurate. They are not meant to be used alone to determine picks but as a starting point when looking at the current Vegas lines.  Picks will be made later in the week using these numbers along with standard handicapping techniques.

2018 – Week 17 Probabilities

Week 17 Probabilities

The following is a list of winning probabilities for week seventeen of the 2018 season. The win probability number listed is for the visiting team and is a percentage. So in the first game the Cleveland Browns have a 37% chance of winning on the road against the Baltimore Ravens.


These probabilities are the raw output of our math model and do not take into account injuries, trades, coaching changes, weather, etc. As the season progresses and more games are played the math model should become more accurate. They are not meant to be used alone to determine picks but as a starting point when looking at the current Vegas lines.  Picks will be made later in the week using these numbers along with standard handicapping techniques.